Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.