Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Sampdoria
34.27% ( -0.99)	26.9% ( -0.27)	38.83% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 51.06% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

0.97)

54.1% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

0.81)

75.53% (

-0.8)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-0.14)

29.89% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.01% (

-0.18)

65.99% (

0.18)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

1.19)

27.16% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

1.52)

62.57% (

-1.51)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 34.27%

Sampdoria 38.82%

Draw 26.89%

Carrarese	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.82%