Serie B | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
0 - 1
Cesena


Magnino (23'), Santoro (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antonucci (89')
Adamo (50')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Cesena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 2-2 Brescia
Friday, May 9 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 0-1 Cesena
Friday, May 9 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cesena in this match.

Result
ModenaDrawCesena
34.86% (-0.181 -0.18)27.89% (0.029 0.03)37.25% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.08% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.12% (-0.117 -0.12)57.89% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)78.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.176 -0.18)31.41% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (-0.206 -0.21)67.79% (0.206 0.21)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)29.9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)66.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Modena 34.85%
    Cesena 37.25%
    Draw 27.89%
ModenaDrawCesena
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.39% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.34% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.25%

How you voted: Modena vs Cesena

Modena
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cesena
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cesena
2-2
Modena
Bastoni (39'), Shpendi (45+1' pen.)
Shpendi (25')
Mendes (28'), Zaro (55')
Cotali (32'), Palumbo (49')
Caldara (65')
rhs 2.0


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