Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese
2 - 1
Modena

Schiavi (42' pen.), Illanes Minucci (88')
Cicconi (80'), Illanes Minucci (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gliozzi (63' pen.)
Cotali (52'), Santoro (64'), Kamate (81')
Oliva (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Carrarese and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-0 Carrarese
Thursday, May 1 at 6.30pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 2-3 Reggiana
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Modena had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.

Result
CarrareseDrawModena
39.47% (0.324 0.32)28.13% (-0.247 -0.25)32.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.696 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93% (0.873 0.87)59.07% (-0.866 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (0.671 0.67)79.53% (-0.663 -0.66)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.61799999999999 0.62)29.17% (-0.611 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.755 0.75)65.11% (-0.747 -0.75)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (0.41199999999999 0.41)33.68% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (0.442 0.44)70.33% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Carrarese 39.46%
    Modena 32.4%
    Draw 28.13%
CarrareseDrawModena
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.83% (-0.324 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 13
Modena
2-0
Carrarese
Cauz (42'), Palumbo (80')
Defrel (37'), Gagno (70')

Giovane (69'), Imperiale (78')