-
Vincenzo Fiorillo
21'
-
Nicolas Schiavi
42'
-
Manuel Cicconi
80'
-
Julian Illanes Minucci
88'
-
Julian Illanes Minucci
90'
-
Matteo Cotali
52'
-
Ettore Gliozzi
63'
-
Simone Santoro
64'
-
Issiaka Kamate
81'
-
Marco Oliva
90'+4'
Carrarese vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Modena had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.
Result
Carrarese
39.47%
▲
(+0.33)
Draw
28.13%
▼
(-0.25)
Modena
32.4%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
46.97%
▲
(+0.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.93%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 2.5
59.07%
▼
(-0.87)
Over 3.5
20.48%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 3.5
79.53%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 4.5
8.61%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 4.5
91.39%
▼
(-0.38)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5
70.83%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 0.5
29.17%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 1.5
34.89%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 1.5
65.11%
▼
(-0.75)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5
66.32%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
33.68%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 1.5
29.67%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 1.5
70.33%
▼
(-0.44)
Score analysis
Carrarese
39.46%
Draw
28.13%
Modena
32.4%
Carrarese
1-0
@
12.1%
▼
(-0.19)
2-1 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.98)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.46%
2-1 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.98)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.46%
Draw
1-1
@
13.17%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
0-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
Modena
0-1
@
10.69%
▼
(-0.24)
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.4%
1-2 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.4%