Serie B | Gameweek 36

May 1, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
2 - 3
Reggiana

Rozzio (30' og.), Bardi (43' og.)
Palumbo (66'), Beyuku Bowutankoyi (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Portanova (15'), Girma (70'), Gondo (86')
Marras (50'), Kabashi (62'), Girma (79'), Lucchesi (84'), Gondo (87')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Reggiana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions

Last Game: Bari 1-2 Modena
Friday, April 25 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Reggiana

All competitions

Last Game: Reggiana 2-1 Cittadella
Friday, April 25 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Reggiana
42.6% ( -0.1)	28.21% ( 0.01)	29.19% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 45.58% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.75% (

-0.01)

60.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.57% (

-0)

80.42% (

0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

-0.06)

27.98% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

-0.07)

63.62% (

0.07)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3% (

0.07)

36.7% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51% (

0.07)

73.49% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Modena 42.59%

Reggiana 29.19%

Draw 28.21%

Modena	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.59%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.21%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.19%