Serie B | Gameweek 35
Apr 25, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
1 - 2
Modena

Lasagna (42')
Maita (17'), Oliveri (25'), Maggiore (31'), Vicari (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Defrel (8'), Palumbo (18' pen.)
Palumbo (41'), Zaro (45+1')
Di Pardo (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bari 2-1 Palermo
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-3 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 12 at 6.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 43.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Modena had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BariDrawModena
43.76% (0.152 0.15)28.63% (-0.283 -0.28)27.6% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 43.63% (0.79 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.72% (0.949 0.95)62.28% (-0.946 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06% (0.69 0.69)81.94% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.54300000000001 0.54)28.33% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.679 0.68)64.07% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (0.646 0.65)39.12% (-0.645 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (0.603 0.6)75.83% (-0.601 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Bari 43.75%
    Modena 27.6%
    Draw 28.62%
BariDrawModena
1-0 @ 13.97% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 10.4% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 27.6%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Modena
2-1
Bari
Palumbo (45+3' pen.), Mendes (62')
Battistella (8'), Bisoli (9'), Palumbo (16'), Gliozzi (72'), Zaro (84')
Bisoli (0')
Novakovich (17')
Maita (14'), Manzari (39'), Benali (61'), Favasuli (80')
Apr 1, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Modena
1-1
Bari
Palumbo (51' pen.)
Manconi (56'), Pergreffi (78'), Ponsi (81'), Cotali (90+6')
Pucino (62')
Sibilli (22')
Oct 21, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 10
Bari
1-1
Modena
Sibilli (72')
Ricci (12'), Sibilli (73'), Di Cesare (80')
Manconi (83')
Zaro (14'), Cauz (55'), Cotali (67'), Gerli (68'), Bozhanaj (78')
May 6, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 36
Modena
1-1
Bari
Diaw (77' pen.)
Ricci (34')
Dec 11, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Bari
4-1
Modena
Botta (6'), Folorunsho (20'), Cittadini (54' og.), Di Cesare (90+1')
Diaw (90+5')