Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Ahli
14.82% ( -0.01)	19.25% ( -0)	65.93% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.6% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.03% (

-0.01)

39.97% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.66% (

-0.01)

62.34% (

0.01)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.43% (

-0.02)

39.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

-0.02)

76.25% (

0.02)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.69%

11.31% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.04% (

35.96% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Al Riyadh 14.82%

Al-Ahli 65.92%

Draw 19.25%

Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 4.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 14.82%	1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.25%	0-2 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.16% 0-4 @ 4.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.04% Total : 65.92%