Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Ahli
33.39% ( -0.15)	23.53% ( 0.21)	43.08% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 62.43% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.7% (

-1.08)

39.29% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.37% (

-1.14)

61.63% (

1.14)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

-0.59)

23.3% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

-0.87)

57.25% (

0.87)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39% (

-0.47)

18.6% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.11% (

-0.79)

49.89% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Al Shabab 33.39%

Al-Ahli 43.08%

Draw 23.53%

Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.39%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.08%