Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.