Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 62.17%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.