AFC Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fnaslog.png)
-
Jhon Duran
9'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
27'
-
Salem Al-Najdi
68'
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Jhon Duran
84'
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Mehran Ahmadi
17'
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Mehran Ahmadi
45'+2'
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Joel Kojo
62'
Al-Nassr vs Esteghlal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fcristiano-ronaldo.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 8.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
Result
Al-Nassr
75.78%
▼
(-2.76)
Draw
15.86%
▲
(+1.36)
Esteghlal
8.36%
▲
(+1.40)
Both Teams to Score:
43.13%
▲
(+2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.93%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 2.5
42.07%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 3.5
35.52%
▼
(-1.14)
Under 3.5
64.48%
▲
(+1.14)
Over 4.5
18.66%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 4.5
81.34%
▲
(+0.86)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5
90.6%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 0.5
9.4%
▲
(+0.92)
Over 1.5
68.38%
▼
(-2.23)
Under 1.5
31.62%
▲
(+2.22)
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5
47.6%
▲
(+2.81)
Under 0.5
52.4%
▼
(-2.82)
Over 1.5
13.74%
▲
(+1.75)
Under 1.5
86.26%
▼
(-1.75)
Score analysis
Al-Nassr
75.77%
Draw
15.86%
Esteghlal
8.36%
Al-Nassr
2-0
@
13.76%
▼
(-0.50)
1-0 @ 11.64% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 10.85% ▼ (-0.88)
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.82)
4-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.15)
5-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.54)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.20)
5-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.07)
6-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 75.77%
1-0 @ 11.64% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 10.85% ▼ (-0.88)
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.44)
3-1 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.82)
4-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.15)
5-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.54)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.20)
5-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.07)
6-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 75.77%
Draw
1-1
@
7.53%
▲
(+0.67)
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.37)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 15.86%
0-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.37)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 15.86%
Esteghlal
0-1
@
3.18%
▲
(+0.41)
1-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-81.58)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 8.36%
1-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.40)
0-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-81.58)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 8.36%