Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 8.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Esteghlal
75.78% ( -2.75)	15.86% ( 1.36)	8.36% ( 1.39)

Both teams to score 43.13% (

2.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.93% (

-1.12)

42.07% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.52% (

-1.14)

64.48% (

1.13)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

-0.92)

9.4% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38% (

-2.22)

31.62% (

2.22)

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.6% (

2.81)

52.4% (

-2.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.74% (

1.74)

86.26% (

-1.74)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 75.77%

Esteghlal 8.36%

Draw 15.86%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Esteghlal
2-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.87) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.82) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.2) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.24% Total : 75.77%	1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.36) Other @ 0.54% Total : 15.86%	0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.71% Total : 8.36%