AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 3, 2025 at 4pm UK

Azadi Stadium

Esteghlal
0 - 0
Al-Nassr

(Al-Nassr win 3-0 on aggregate)

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Esteghlal and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Esteghlal

Last Game: Esteghlal 0-1 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, October 22 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Nassr

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al Orubah 2-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Esteghlal	Draw	Al-Nassr
18.17% ( 0.09)	22.84% ( -0.36)	58.98% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 49.12% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

1.56)

49.62% (

-1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

1.38)

71.64% (

-1.39)

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.82% (

1.02)

41.18% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.28% (

0.9)

77.71% (

-0.9)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

0.64)

16.49% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

1.15)

46.21% (

-1.16)

Score Analysis

Esteghlal 18.17%

Al-Nassr 58.97%

Draw 22.83%

Esteghlal	Draw	Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.17%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.83%	0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 11.03% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.88% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.97% Total : 58.97%