Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 23

Feb 28, 2025 at 7pm UK

Al Orubah Club Stadium

Al Orubah
2 - 1
Al-Nassr

Al Somah (40'), Berg Gudmundsson (65')
Al Maqati (80'), Al Somah (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boushal (51')
Mohammed (34'), Brozovic (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Orubah and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Orubah

All competitions

Last Game: Damac 1-2 Al Orubah
Monday, February 24 at 3.50pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-2 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, February 25 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Al Orubah had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.6%) and 0-1 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Al Orubah win it was 1-0 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Al Orubah	Draw	Al-Nassr
7.1% ( -0.19)	14.54% ( -0.05)	78.35% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 41.61% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

-0.52)

40.55% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06% (

-0.54)

62.93% (

0.54)

Al Orubah Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.44% (

-0.88)

54.56% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.38% (

-0.54)

87.61% (

0.54)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.57% (

-0.07)

8.42% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.73% (

-0.16)

29.27% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Al Orubah 7.1%

Al-Nassr 78.35%

Draw 14.54%

Al Orubah	Draw	Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.23% Total : 7.1%	1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.47% Total : 14.54%	0-2 @ 14.06% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 11.6% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 0-6 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.63% Total : 78.35%