Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 67.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.