AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Esteghlal
1 - 0
Al-Shorta

Diabate (14' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ali (19'), Dawood (21'), Fayad (22'), Qasim Majid (85'), Natiq (88')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Esteghlal and Al-Shorta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Al-Shorta had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al-Shorta win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Esteghlal in this match.

Result
EsteghlalDrawAl-Shorta
50.33%26.08%23.59%
Both teams to score 47.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01%55.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92%77.08%
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22%55.77%
Al-Shorta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84%39.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12%75.87%
Score Analysis
    Esteghlal 50.33%
    Al-Shorta 23.59%
    Draw 26.07%
EsteghlalDrawAl-Shorta
1-0 @ 13.1%
2-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.19%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 23.59%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!