AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Esteghlal
2 - 2
Al-Duhail

Diabate (27' pen.), Ghaedi (61')
Ghaedi (57'), Shojaeian (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Olunga (45+3' pen., 59')
Abdulsalam (74'), B (79')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Esteghlal and Al-Duhail.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
EsteghlalDrawAl-Duhail
40.98%25.72%33.3%
Both teams to score 54.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62%49.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58%71.42%
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14%23.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96%58.04%
Al-Duhail Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11%63.88%
Score Analysis
    Esteghlal 40.98%
    Al-Duhail 33.3%
    Draw 25.71%
EsteghlalDrawAl-Duhail
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.52%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.28%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.3%