Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.