Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 78.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 7.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win it was 1-2 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.