AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK

Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
4 - 0
Pakhtakor

Al-Yami (31'), Malcom (42'), Al-Dawsari (51' pen.), Al-Dawsari (90+2')
Al-Harbi (59'), Al Ghannam (88'), Al Ghannam (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Khamdamov (36')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Hilal and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Pakhtakor Tashkent

All competitions

Last Game: Pakhtakor 1-0 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 78.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 7.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win it was 1-2 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Pakhtakor Tashkent
78.68% ( -0.74)	13.55% ( 0.44)	7.77% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 49.31% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.34% (

-1.15)

32.66% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.67% (

-1.35)

54.33% (

1.35)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.4% (

-0.38)

6.6% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.46% (

-1.05)

24.53% (

1.05)

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.8% (

-0.14)

47.2% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.36% (

-0.1)

82.64% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 78.67%

Pakhtakor Tashkent 7.77%

Draw 13.55%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Pakhtakor Tashkent
2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.59% Total : 78.67%	1-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.84% Total : 13.55%	1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.77%