AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 4, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stadion Majmuasi

Pakhtakor
1 - 0
Al-Hilal

(Al-Hilal win 4-1 on aggregate)

Junior (29')
Azmiddinov (34'), Abdullayev (78'), Makhamadjonov (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Koulibaly (83'), Kanoo (90+9')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Pakhtakor Tashkent and Al-Hilal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pakhtakor Tashkent

Last Game: Pakhtakor 1-4 Al Fayha
Tuesday, December 5 at 2pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Hilal

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-3 Al-Ahli
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Pakhtakor Tashkent	Draw	Al-Hilal
27.13% ( -0.41)	22.08% ( -0.1)	50.79% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 63.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.16% (

0.14)

35.84% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.08% (

0.16)

57.92% (

-0.16)

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

-0.2)

25.45% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72% (

-0.28)

60.28% (

0.28)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.58% (

0.22)

14.42% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.66% (

0.43)

42.34% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Pakhtakor Tashkent 27.13%

Al-Hilal 50.79%

Draw 22.08%

Pakhtakor Tashkent	Draw	Al-Hilal
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.13%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 50.79%