Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Kholood

Ronaldo (4'), Mane (26'), Duran (41')
Alawjami (46'), Boushal (47')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Alawjami (72' og.)
Al-Shamrani (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Kholood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-0 Esteghlal
Monday, March 10 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Al Kholood

All competitions
Last Game: Al Kholood 2-1 Al Fateh
Thursday, March 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Kholood
75.55% (-0.354 -0.35)14.65% (0.104 0.1)9.8% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 54.62% (0.694 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.21% (0.334 0.33)30.8% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.86% (0.396 0.4)52.14% (-0.394 -0.39)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)6.79% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Al Kholood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.6% (0.74 0.74)41.4% (-0.737 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.09% (0.644 0.64)77.91% (-0.64200000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 75.55%
    Al Kholood 9.8%
    Draw 14.65%
Al-NassrDrawAl Kholood
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 8.04% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 6.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 5.4% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.081 0.08)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.055 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.28% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 75.55%
1-1 @ 6.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.65%
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 2.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood

Al-Nassr
82.6%
Draw
4.3%
Al Kholood
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Al Kholood
3-3
Al-Nassr
Maolida (12', 28'), Muleka (71')
Muleka (68'), Amer Ali Al Qahimi Al Shehri (83'), Grohe (90+7')
Laporte (16'), Talisca (24', 90+4')
Brozovic (73'), Brozovic (74'), Alkhaibari (83')
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