Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 58.18%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.