AFC Champions League
Apr 25, 2025 5.30pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 6' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 25' goal
  • Salem Al-Dawsari 33' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 55' goal
  • Malcom 79' goal
  • Nasser Al-Dawsari 84' goal
  • Abdullah Al Hamdan 88' goal
  • yellowcard Jin-Ho Kim 72'

Al-Hilal vs Gwangju - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions

Gwangju

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gwangju had a probability of 11.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Gwangju win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result

Al-Hilal 71.32% (-3.22)
Draw 16.81% (+1.19)
Gwangju 11.86% (+2.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.77% (+3.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.5% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 35.5% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 42.45% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 57.54% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 24.14% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 75.85% (-0.27)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 91.21% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 8.79% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 69.84% (-1.58)
Under 1.5 30.16% (+1.57)

Gwangju Goals

Over 0.5 58.95% (+3.85)
Under 0.5 41.05% (-3.85)
Over 1.5 22.4% (+3.26)
Under 1.5 77.6% (-3.26)

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 71.31%
Draw 16.81%
Gwangju 11.86%
Al-Hilal
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.84)
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.29)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.41)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.97)
3-1 @ 7.7% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.26% (-0.77)
4-1 @ 4.68% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.35)
5-0 @ 2.56% (-0.47)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.15)
4-2 @ 2.08% (+0.16)
6-0 @ 1.04% (-0.23)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-95.79)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 71.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.81% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.23% (+0.54)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-81.29)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.81%
Gwangju
1-2 @ 3.48% (+0.54)
0-1 @ 3.21% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 1.43% (+0.26)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-97.15)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-77.47)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 11.86%