AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals

Apr 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Hilal
7 - 0
Gwangju

Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leonardo (25'), Al-Dawsari (33'), Mitrovic (55'), Malcom (79'), Al-Dawsari (84'), Al Hamdan (88')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kim (72')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Al-Hilal and Gwangju.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-2 Al Shabab
Monday, April 21 at 4.55pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Gwangju

All competitions

Last Game: Gwangju 3-0 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, March 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gwangju had a probability of 11.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Gwangju win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Gwangju
71.32% ( -3.21)	16.81% ( 1.18)	11.86% ( 2.03)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

3.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.5% (

0.29)

35.5% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.45% (

0.32)

57.54% (

-0.32)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.21% (

-0.64)

8.79% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.84% (

-1.57)

30.16% (

1.57)

Gwangju Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.95% (

3.85)

41.05% (

-3.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

3.25)

77.6% (

-3.25)

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 71.31%

Gwangju 11.86%

Draw 16.81%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Gwangju
2-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.84) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.96) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.77) 4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.35) 5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.46) 5-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.15) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.23) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.79% Total : 71.31%	1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.81%	1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.25) Other @ 1.46% Total : 11.86%