Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gwangju had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Gwangju win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.