Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 30
May 7, 2025 at 5.25pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
2 - 0
Al-Taawoun

Sulaiman (10'), Toney (31')
Ibanez (83'), Al Muwallad (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mater Mahzari (51'), Madash (59'), Girotto (90+2')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Taawoun.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-3 Al-Ahli
Tuesday, April 29 at 5.30pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 4-3 Al Raed
Thursday, April 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Taawoun
64.94% (-0.693 -0.69)20.55% (0.395 0.4)14.51% (0.292 0.29)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-0.518 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-1.092 -1.09)46.42% (1.086 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-1.036 -1.04)68.71% (1.032 1.03)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)13.52% (0.537 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (-1.091 -1.09)40.58% (1.086 1.09)
Al-Taawoun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56% (-0.251 -0.25)44% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (-0.205 -0.2)80.12% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 64.93%
    Al-Taawoun 14.51%
    Draw 20.55%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Taawoun
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 11.9% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.97% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.075 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 64.93%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.187 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.55%
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Taawoun

Al-Ahli
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Taawoun
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 13
Al-Taawoun
2-4
Al-Ahli
Pedro (21'), Barrow (23')
Al Slaluli (79')
Ibanez (45+8'), Albirakan (52'), Firmino (63'), Mahrez (73')
Toney (90+8')
Mar 9, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 23
Al-Taawoun
0-1
Al-Ahli

Girotto (21'), Saleh (90+2')
Albirakan (82')
Sep 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Al-Ahli
3-2
Al-Taawoun
Hindi (4'), Al-Ahmad (23' og.), Saint-Maximin (67')
Majrashi (45+1'), Ibanez (60'), Hindi (87'), Bassam Alhurayji (90+10')
Hindi (90+4')
Pedro (45+3'), Barrow (51')
Flavio (66')
Medran (90+4')