Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.