Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Al Kholood had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Al Kholood win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.