Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 82.68%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 6.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Kholood
82.68% ( 0.36)	11.1% ( -0.25)	6.22% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.06% (

0.91)

25.93% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.87% (

1.16)

46.13% (

-1.16)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.42% (

0.22)

4.58% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.3% (

0.68)

18.7% (

-0.68)

Al Kholood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.99% (

0.45)

46.01% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.27% (

0.34)

81.73% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 82.67%

Al Kholood 6.22%

Draw 11.1%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Kholood
3-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.76% Total : 82.67%	1-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.94% Total : 11.1%	1-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.22%