Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quadisiya would win this match.