Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Quadisiya in this match.