Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 27
Apr 12, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 1
Al Riyadh

Ronaldo (56', 64')
Duran (19'), Gabriel (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Selemani (45+2')
Mensah (59'), Al-Khaibari (80'), Bayesh (82'), Hussain Tambakti (90+12')
Assiri (90+4')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Riyadh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-3 Al-Nassr
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-0 Damac
Saturday, April 5 at 3.15pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 82.76%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Riyadh
82.76% (-0.11 -0.11)11.02% (0.153 0.15)6.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.06% (-1.151 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.63% (-1.109 -1.11)25.37% (1.113 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.6% (-1.456 -1.46)45.4% (1.46 1.46)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.53% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)4.47% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.65% (-0.672 -0.67)18.35% (0.675 0.68)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (-1.079 -1.08)45.5% (1.083 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (-0.865 -0.87)81.33% (0.869 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 82.75%
    Al Riyadh 6.23%
    Draw 11.02%
Al-NassrDrawAl Riyadh
3-0 @ 10.17% (0.259 0.26)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.403 0.4)
3-1 @ 8.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 7.91% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.354 0.35)
4-1 @ 6.23% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-0 @ 4.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.87% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.11 -0.11)
6-0 @ 2.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.125 -0.13)
6-1 @ 2.01% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-2 @ 1.52% (-0.104 -0.1)
7-0 @ 1.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 82.75%
1-1 @ 4.97% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 11.02%
1-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.6% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 6.23%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 10
Al Riyadh
0-1
Al-Nassr

Bayesh (38'), Al-Khaibari (51')
Mane (41')
Haqawi (90+1')
> Preview
May 23, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 33
Al Riyadh
2-2
Al-Nassr
Gray (26'), Saleh (45+1')
N'Dong (85')
Otavio (15'), Al Nemer (90+7')
Telles (45+10'), Telles (50')
Laporte (63')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Al-Nassr
4-1
Al Riyadh
Ronaldo (31'), Otavio (45+3'), Talisca (67', 90+4')
Yahya (88')
Gray (68')
Al-Shuwayyi (5'), Al-Rashidi (20')
> Preview