Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 75.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al Ittihad.