Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 69.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.