Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 22, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 3
Al Ettifaq

Toney (6' pen.)
Ibanez (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Abdulrahman (49'), Wijnaldum (87' pen.), Alolayan (90+5')
Ahmed Khateeb (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Ettifaq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Al Kholood
Saturday, May 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ettifaq

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-0 Damac
Saturday, May 17 at 4.55pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 69.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Ettifaq
69.94% (0.027999999999992 0.03)17.25% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)12.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.26% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92% (0.028999999999996 0.03)35.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92% (0.032000000000004 0.03)57.08% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.01% (0.013999999999996 0.01)8.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)30.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72%39.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 69.93%
    Al Ettifaq 12.81%
    Draw 17.25%
Al-AhliDrawAl Ettifaq
2-0 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 69.93%
1-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.25%
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 12.81%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Ettifaq

Al-Ahli
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Al Ettifaq
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2025 5pm
Gameweek 16
Al Ettifaq
1-2
Al-Ahli
Wijnaldum (90+1')
Dembele (23'), Radif (45+1'), Abdulrahman (76'), Costa (90+3')
Veiga (30'), Firmino (63')
Mahrez (42'), Ayidh Al Rashidi (90+6')
Mar 29, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 25
Al Ettifaq
2-2
Al-Ahli
Fofana (45+3'), Albirakan (49' og.)
Dembele (60'), Al Ghannam (68'), Ahmed Khateeb (88')
Albirakan (8'), Al-Ammar (88')
Al-Asmari (30'), Alnabit (88')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Ahli
0-0
Al Ettifaq
Al-Majhad (41')
Ahmed Khateeb (28')