Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.