Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a CSM Iasi win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.

Result
Universitatea Craiova	Draw	CSM Iasi
62.16% ( -0.14)	21.96% ( 0.08)	15.89% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.33% (

-0.21)

49.67% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.31% (

-0.19)

71.69% (

0.19)

Universitatea Craiova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56% (

-0.11)

15.44% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

-0.22)

44.29% (

0.22)

CSM Iasi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.93% (

-0.04)

44.07% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.82% (

-0.04)

80.18% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Universitatea Craiova 62.15%

CSM Iasi 15.89%

Draw 21.95%

Universitatea Craiova	Draw	CSM Iasi
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 62.15%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.95%	0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.89%