Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSM Iasi win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for SSC Farul had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSM Iasi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest SSC Farul win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.