Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.