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UEFA Conference League

U Craiova
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)
Maribor

U Craiova
3 - 2
Maribor

Mitrita (52'), Grego (72'), Koljic (90+5')
Koljic (22'), Mitrita (78'), Zajkov (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ilicic (68'), Jakupovic (82')
Ilicic (30'), Bourles (69')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Universitatea Craiova and Maribor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: CFR Cluj 0-2 U Craiova
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Maribor

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maribor 2-0 U Craiova
Thursday, July 25 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.

Result
Universitatea CraiovaDrawMaribor
42.74% (0.11499999999999 0.11)24.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.61% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01)44.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Universitatea Craiova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.057000000000002 0.06)21.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (0.090000000000003 0.09)53.83% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)26.4% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)61.55% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Universitatea Craiova 42.74%
    Maribor 32.61%
    Draw 24.64%
Universitatea CraiovaDrawMaribor
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: U Craiova vs Maribor

Universitatea Craiova
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Maribor
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 7.15pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Maribor
2-0
U Craiova
Repas (57'), Jakupovic (88')
Sirvys (52')

Paradela (42')
Maldonado (31')