Conference League
Jul 25, 2024 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ljudski vrt
  • Pijus Sirvys 52' yellowcard
  • Jan Repas 57' goal
  • Arnel Jakupovic 88' goal
  • redcard Denil Maldonado 31'
  • yellowcard Luis Paradela 42'

Maribor vs Universitatea Craiova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result

Maribor 44.19% (+0.66)
Draw 23.63% (+0.09)
Universitatea Craiova 32.17% (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.55% (-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.77% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 40.23% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 37.4% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 62.6% (+0.74)
Over 4.5 20.09% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 79.91% (+0.58)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5 81.48% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.52% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.25% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.75% (+0.03)

Universitatea Craiova Goals

Over 0.5 75.55% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 24.45% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 41.11% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 58.89% (+1.11)

Score analysis

Maribor 44.19%
Draw 23.63%
Universitatea Craiova 32.17%
Maribor
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.64% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 6.44% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.1% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.62% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.15% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 44.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.53% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.63%
Universitatea Craiova
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 6.38% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.17%