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UEFA Conference League

Maribor
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
U Craiova

Maribor
2 - 0
U Craiova

Repas (57'), Jakupovic (88')
Sirvys (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paradela (42')
Maldonado (31')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and Universitatea Craiova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Last Game: Maribor 4-1 Domzale
Sunday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions
Last Game: U Craiova 4-2 UTA Arad
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
MariborDrawUniversitatea Craiova
44.19% (0.655 0.66)23.63% (0.088000000000001 0.09)32.17% (-0.739 -0.74)
Both teams to score 61.55% (-0.639 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.77% (-0.706 -0.71)40.23% (0.709 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.4% (-0.732 -0.73)62.6% (0.737 0.74)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)18.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)49.75% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Universitatea Craiova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.768 -0.77)24.45% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (-1.097 -1.1)58.89% (1.102 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 44.19%
    Universitatea Craiova 32.17%
    Draw 23.63%
MariborDrawUniversitatea Craiova
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.243 0.24)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.202 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 44.19%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.17%

How you voted: Maribor vs U Craiova

Maribor
47.8%
Draw
26.1%
Universitatea Craiova
26.1%
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