Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
61.95% ( 0.08)	20.35% ( 0.01)	17.7% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.52% (

-0.16)

39.47% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.18% (

-0.17)

61.82% (

0.17)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75% (

-0.03)

12.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.04% (

-0.06)

37.96% (

0.06)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-0.19)

35.71% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-0.2)

72.49% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 61.95%

Mazatlan 17.7%

Draw 20.35%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.7%