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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Stevenage

Wrexham
2 - 3
Stevenage

Rathbone (55'), Cleworth (90')
Rathbone (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kemp (13'), Reid (18'), Young (71')
Phillips (89'), Reid (90+1'), Mahoney (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wrexham and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawStevenage
40.89% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)29.84% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 43.08% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)63.5% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17% (0.041 0.04)82.82% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)30.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)66.76% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02% (0.1 0.1)37.98% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.25% (0.096 0.1)74.74% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 40.88%
    Stevenage 29.84%
    Draw 29.25%
WrexhamDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 11.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.25%
0-1 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 29.84%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Stevenage

Wrexham
85.9%
Draw
9.0%
Stevenage
5.1%
78
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Stevenage
1-0
Wrexham
Thompson (10')
Butler (27'), Roberts (88')

O'Connor (39'), Cannon (68'), O'Connell (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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