Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Union SG2 - 0Lugano
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sabbatini (76')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mechelen 4-0 Union SG
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Lugano 6-1 Yverdon Sport
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
We said: Union SG 3-1 Lugano
Lugano will travel to Belgium with confidence following their recent results, but Union SG do still boast plenty of quality even after some key departures, and we fancy Blessin's men to gain an advantage in their home leg, leaving everything still to play for next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
Result | ||
Union SG | Draw | Lugano |
50.23% ( 0) | 23.3% ( 0) | 26.46% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.83% ( -0.02) | 42.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.42% ( -0.02) | 64.58% ( 0.02) |
Union SG Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% ( -0.01) | 16.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.03% ( -0.01) | 46.97% ( 0.01) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( -0.01) | 29.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.8% ( -0.02) | 65.2% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Union SG 50.23%
Lugano 26.46%
Draw 23.3%
Union SG | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.46% |
How you voted: Union SG vs Lugano
Union SG
84.0%Draw
8.0%Lugano
8.0%50
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-16 18:34:04
Sunday, June 16
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Hungary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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