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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
47.51% ( -0.52) | 21.68% ( 0.03) | 30.81% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.74% ( 0.11) | 31.25% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.31% ( 0.13) | 52.69% ( -0.14) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.17% ( -0.13) | 13.83% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.81% ( -0.25) | 41.18% ( 0.25) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.12% ( 0.33) | 20.87% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.42% ( 0.51) | 53.58% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.85% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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