Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
61.5% ( -0.1) | 20.29% ( 0.02) | 18.2% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.66% ( 0.04) | 38.33% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.38% ( 0.04) | 60.62% ( -0.04) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% ( -0.02) | 12.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.51% ( -0.03) | 37.48% ( 0.03) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.52% ( 0.1) | 34.47% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( 0.11) | 71.18% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 61.5% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |