After failing to keep clean sheets in three of the preceding four matches at the Allianz Riviera, Nice have prevented Lorient (3-0) and Le Havre (1-0) from scoring, even if the opposition's struggles should be considered. Nevertheless, the Eaglets' motivation to secure a coveted European berth should see them avoid defeat against a PSG side expected to be at full strength again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
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