MX23RW : Monday, April 29 09:51:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 3
Danubio

Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Penarol
Saturday, November 11 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
51.94% (0.473 0.47) 26.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 21.98% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.52% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (0.417 0.42)57.35% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (0.331 0.33)78.17% (-0.333 -0.33)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.381 0.38)22.17% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.57 0.57)55.57% (-0.573 -0.57)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)41.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)78% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 51.94%
    Danubio 21.98%
    Draw 26.08%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.98%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')
Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol98101941525
2ProgresoProgreso107302314924
3NacionalNacional106402091122
4Defensor SportingDefensor104421913616
5Cerro Largo10433108215
6Boston RiverBoston River104331212015
7River PlateRiver Plate93331311212
8Racing de MontevideoRacing93331312112
9DanubioDanubio103341113-212
10LiverpoolLiverpool102531515011
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers102351016-69
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado10226915-68
13CerroCerro101541118-78
14Rampla JuniorsRampla10226922-138
15Miramar Misiones101451420-67
16FenixFenix9045511-64


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