![Iran national football team Iran national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/irnlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Iran4 - 0Hong Kong
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nam Yue (17'), Hin Ting (38')
We said: Iran 2-0 Hong Kong
Iran have won nine of their last nine home World Cup qualifiers, and we think that they will continue that impressive record with a comfortable victory over a nation sitting 129 places below them in the FIFA World Rankings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result | ||
Iran | Draw | Hong Kong |
71.49% (![]() | 17.74% (![]() | 10.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.92% (![]() | 43.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.52% (![]() | 65.47% (![]() |
Iran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.27% (![]() | 10.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.32% (![]() | 34.67% (![]() |
Hong Kong Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52% (![]() | 47.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.77% (![]() | 83.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Iran 71.48%
Hong Kong 10.77%
Draw 17.74%
Iran | Draw | Hong Kong |
2-0 @ 12.82% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 17.74% | 0-1 @ 3.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 10.77% |
How you voted: Iran vs Hong Kong
Iran
57.1%Draw
28.6%Hong Kong
14.3%7
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2021 3.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-17 11:08:23
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | ![]() | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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