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Internacional (Brasil)
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Sep 14, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
Sao Paulo

Internacional
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Bustos (59'), Rene (70')
Mercado (18'), Gabriel (30'), Keiller (45+2'), Dias (90+7'), Lucca (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calleri (45+4' pen.)
Diego (16'), Maia (41'), Rafinha (75'), Calleri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Internacional and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Goias 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Internacional 0-0 Sao Paulo

Both sides are in poor form in the Brasileiro, with Internacional drawing their last two games 0-0, and Sao Paulo have not scored more than one goal in their last four games. As such, we think Wednesday's game could end up finishing as a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawSao Paulo
45.01% (-0.416 -0.42) 26.66% (0.125 0.13) 28.33% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (-0.325 -0.32)55.05% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69% (-0.268 -0.27)76.31% (0.271 0.27)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.34400000000001 -0.34)24.36% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.49 -0.49)58.77% (0.495 0.49)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.058999999999997 0.06)34.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.3% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 45.01%
    Sao Paulo 28.33%
    Draw 26.66%
InternacionalDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.127 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.33%

How you voted: Internacional vs Sao Paulo

Internacional
37.5%
Draw
41.7%
Sao Paulo
20.8%
24
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 8pm
Nov 9, 2022 12.30am
Jul 21, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 18
Internacional
3-3
Sao Paulo
Henrique (4', 25'), Edenilson (41' pen.)
Moledo (62'), Heitor (64'), Moises (67'), Mercado (90')
Nikao (10', 32'), Luciano (54')
Luciano (28'), Couto (39'), Neves (64'), Rafinha (69'), Luizao (83')
Oct 31, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 29
Sao Paulo
1-0
Internacional
Sara (5')

Cuesta (36'), Rocha Lima (78')
Jul 8, 2021 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR531173410
2Bahia531186210
3Atletico Mineiro52309369
4Botafogo530211659
5BragantinoBragantino52307529
6PalmeirasPalmeiras52213128
7FlamengoFlamengo52215508
8Sao Paulo52128537
9InternacionalInternacional42114317
10Cruzeiro42117707
11Gremio42024316
12FortalezaFortaleza41304316
13CriciumaCriciuma31206245
14Corinthians51223305
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Fluminense5122710-35
17Vasco da GamaVasco5104410-63
18Vitoria401349-51
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO401327-51
20Cuiaba4004010-100


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