Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12

Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Wilson (12'), Abbruzzese (23'), Taylor-Crossdale (44')
Fawcett (90+7')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Brown (45+6'), Harling (62')
Venables (45+1'), Evans (51'), Kircough (65'), Pennock (80'), Brown (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions

Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-4 New Saints
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
33.72% ( 0.03)	26.87% ( 0.02)	39.41% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.05% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

-0.09)

54.08% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

-0.08)

75.51% (

0.08)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-0.03)

30.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-0.04)

66.41% (

0.04)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

-0.07)

26.83% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

-0.09)

62.12% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 33.72%

Pen-y-Bont 39.41%

Draw 26.86%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.72%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.41%