Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals

Mar 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
0 - 1
Hearts

Baird (24'), Broadfoot (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (86')
Devlin (43'), Grant (59'), Shankland (64')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Greenock Morton and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Morton 0-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Celtic
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Greenock Morton 1-4 Hearts

With all the pressure on Hearts, Morton will feel like they can play with a certain level of freedom to cause one of the upsets of this year's competition. However, we cannot see Hearts faltering on Monday night, the visitors likely to run out convincing victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Hearts
34% ( -0.34)	25.79% ( 0.03)	40.2% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

-0.2)

49.56% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.41% (

-0.18)

71.58% (

0.18)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.31)

27.84% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

-0.39)

63.44% (

0.39)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66% (

0.07)

24.33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.27% (

0.1)

58.72% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 34%

Hearts 40.2%

Draw 25.79%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.2%