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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
17.05% ( -1.34) | 20.81% ( -0.86) | 62.15% ( 2.21) |
Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.27% ( 1.62) | 42.73% ( -1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% ( 1.6) | 65.13% ( -1.59) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.57% ( -0.58) | 38.43% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.82% ( -0.56) | 75.18% ( 0.57) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.8% ( 1.19) | 13.2% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.08% ( 2.36) | 39.92% ( -2.36) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.05% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.81% | 0-2 @ 10.4% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.02% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.29) 0-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.2) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |