La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 5, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
3 - 2
Villarreal

Aspas (22' pen.), Strand Larsen (39'), Douvikas (82')
Manquillo (25'), Rodriguez (33'), Swedberg (64'), Douvikas (77'), Douvikas (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Moreno (12'), Guedes (65')
Comesana (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, April 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Villarreal

Villarreal are in a strong run of form, and although Celta are battling for their lives, we are predicting a narrow away victory here, which would strengthen Villarreal's hopes of a European finish this term. Alexander Sorloth has scored nine times in his last eight league appearances and could be the difference between the two sides in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Villarreal
49.02% ( -0.29)	24.58% ( -0.14)	26.4% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.13% (

0.9)

47.87% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.95% (

0.82)

70.05% (

-0.82)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

0.24)

19.57% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

0.39)

51.49% (

-0.39)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.82)

32.3% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.92)

68.8% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 49.02%

Villarreal 26.4%

Draw 24.58%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.02%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 26.4%