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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Barnsley

Powell (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley

Burton's recent form has been extremely poor, and they have only managed to triumph in six of their 19 home league matches this season. Barnsley are the second-best side on the road and are currently on a three-match winning run away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
20.55% (-0.287 -0.29) 22.95% (0.327 0.33) 56.51% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-1.499 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-1.779 -1.78)46.8% (1.782 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-1.685 -1.69)69.06% (1.688 1.69)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-1.301 -1.3)36.96% (1.305 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-1.318 -1.32)73.74% (1.322 1.32)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)16.35% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-1.163 -1.16)45.97% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 20.55%
    Barnsley 56.5%
    Draw 22.95%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.55%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.58 0.58)
0-2 @ 9.91% (0.314 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.5%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Barnsley
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (21', 68')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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