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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Greatness Park

Sevenoaks Town
0 - 2
Leatherhead

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Sevenoaks Town and Leatherhead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevenoaks Town

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Last Game: Sevenoaks Town 2-1 Whitstable Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Leatherhead

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Last Game: Wycombe 3-1 Leatherhead
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leatherhead win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Sevenoaks Town had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leatherhead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Sevenoaks Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leatherhead would win this match.

Result
Sevenoaks TownDrawLeatherhead
37.68% (1.577 1.58)23.53% (0.647 0.65)38.79% (-2.223 -2.22)
Both teams to score 63.29% (-2.334 -2.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49% (-3.1 -3.1)38.51% (3.099 3.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (-3.358 -3.36)60.81% (3.358 3.36)
Sevenoaks Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.617 -0.62)20.71% (0.616 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.977 -0.98)53.32% (0.97799999999999 0.98)
Leatherhead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-2.304 -2.3)20.18% (2.305 2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-3.825 -3.83)52.47% (3.826 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Sevenoaks Town 37.68%
    Leatherhead 38.79%
    Draw 23.53%
Sevenoaks TownDrawLeatherhead
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.329 0.33)
1-0 @ 6.58% (0.817 0.82)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.556 0.56)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.245 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.68%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.606 0.61)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.587 0.59)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.504 0.5)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.407 -0.41)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.395 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 38.79%

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